Being a geek, I tend to watch a lot of The Discovery Channel. I enjoy shows about science (Mythbusters rocks!), the origins of the universe, and history. Recently, Discovery aired a show called Curiosity: Did God Create the Universe? Presented by Prof. Stephen Hawking, the show dealt with the origins of the universe from a…
Read moreDonald Trump? President??!
Donald Trump, it seems, is seriously considering a run for the White House. This makes the race quite interesting, because, for the first time since 1992, three people would be on the ballot for the job. The appeal in having Donald Trump as President is very simple: he doesn’t need the job. He already has,…
Read moreDo’s and Don’ts When Meeting A Celebrity
This has been a few weeks in coming. Now I have finished my chronicle of my time volunteering at Calgary Expo, I can focus some time on other stuff – like how to not look like a fool when meeting a celebrity. These rules apply almost universally – except when the celebrity is David Suzuki….
Read moreMucking Around with Electoral Reform
With the re-election of Stephen Harper‘s Conservatives to Parliament with a majority of the seats in the House of Commons, a large number of calls for electoral reform are being raised. The old, tired, and inaccurate arguments of “60% of the voters voted against Stephen Harper” are being raised, yet again. I too used a similar…
Read moreWhat’s next for the Conservatives
Now that the campaign is over – and what a roller coaster of a campaign it was, full of ups, downs, lefts, rights, uprisings, and happy endings! Now that it’s over, and we finally have stability for four years, it’s time, I think, to express my opinion on how Stephen Harper should conduct the next…
Read moreProjection Interpretation and Analysis: Pretty Good!
As I posted in my previous entry, I think I made a fairly good prediction of the result of the election, based on the information I had available to me. For my final result model, I used a public opinion poll released on Sunday, May 1, 2011, as it sampled a very large number of people…
Read morePrediction Accuracy Report (Complete) – Can I call it, or can I call it?
On Sunday, I predicted the following result based on my prediction program and intuition: Conservative: 156 (155-160) NDP: 76 (80-80) Liberal: 46 (40-50) Bloc: 30 (25-35) My program initially spit out the following based on Ekos’ data: Conservative: 150 NDP: 116 Liberal: 37 Bloc: 5 Once I had adjusted…
Read moreGood Riddance to Bin Laden #roft #cdnpoli #opinion #commentary
Just a few months away from the 10th anniversary of 9/11, the US has finally managed to take out the mastermind. Osama Bin Laden is dead. Good riddance to bad rubbish. Feed the body to pigs. Reports are that there’s a crowd at the White House cheering and singing the Star Spangled Banner. That, however,…
Read moreCompas Poll: Prediction: #CPC 181, #NDP: 88, #BQ: 26, #LPC 13
I threw this one together just now because someone on Twitter pointed out that Compas has released a prediction of a Conservative majority. I have to admit, of course, that I like this particular poll, and I also like this prediction. Reading deeper into the analysis that Compas put out, it shows incredible volatility in…
Read moreMy Seat Prediction, based on #Ekos, May 1, 2011 and intuition: #CPC 156, #NDP: 76, #LPC: 46, #BQ: 30 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41
I’ve written before that I question Ekos’ methodology. Traditionally, they always seem to favour the “underdog” in an election poll. In 2008, they missed the results of the Conservative Party by just over 3%, which is a significant amount, especially since they consider their margin of error to be roughly +/- 1.8%. Obviously things happen…
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