Putting God in a Box

Being a geek, I tend to watch a lot of The Discovery Channel. I enjoy shows about science (Mythbusters rocks!), the origins of the universe, and history. Recently, Discovery aired a show called Curiosity: Did God Create the Universe?  Presented by Prof. Stephen Hawking, the show dealt with the origins…

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Mucking Around with Electoral Reform

With the re-election of Stephen Harper‘s Conservatives to Parliament with a majority of the seats in the House of Commons, a large number of calls for electoral reform are being raised. The old, tired, and inaccurate arguments of “60% of the voters voted against Stephen Harper” are being raised, yet again.…

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Projection Interpretation and Analysis: Pretty Good!

As I posted in my previous entry, I think I made a fairly good prediction of the result of the election, based on the information I had available to me.  For my final result model, I used a public opinion poll released on Sunday, May 1, 2011, as it sampled a…

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Prediction Accuracy Report (Complete) – Can I call it, or can I call it?

On Sunday, I predicted the following result based on my prediction program and intuition: Conservative: 156 (155-160)   NDP: 76 (80-80)   Liberal: 46 (40-50)   Bloc: 30 (25-35) My program initially spit out the following based on Ekos’ data: Conservative: 150   NDP: 116   Liberal: 37   Bloc:…

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My Seat Prediction, based on #Ekos, May 1, 2011 and intuition: #CPC 156, #NDP: 76, #LPC: 46, #BQ: 30 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41

I’ve written before that I question Ekos’ methodology.  Traditionally, they always seem to favour the “underdog” in an election poll.  In 2008, they missed the results of the Conservative Party by just over 3%, which is a significant amount, especially since they consider their margin of error to be roughly…

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