Could Harper be Poised to Pull it off? Is a Conservative Majority Possible? I think it just might be.

For the last few weeks, things have looked pretty grim for the Conservative Party; of course, that’s assuming you believe what the mainstream media tells you.  The CBC, CTV, the National Post, and of course Pravda The Toronto Star all  seem to be actively campaigning for the NDP/Liberal coalition. However, Ekos released …

Latest Seat Projection Conservatives Gaining Ground

Update: Forgot to mention the source of this data:  Abacus.  Poll date: August 31, 2015.  Map colours also updated to make things easier to understand, and added an additional map. (September 5, 2015)  Note to mobile users:  This program isn’t perfect for you, yet; but I will be adding that …

Quick seat prediction – Today’s Forum Poll #wrp 62, #PCAA 22, #ABNDP 3 #abvote

I have just visually superimposed an riding map of the new riding distribution over the riding distribution for the 2008 election, and calculated seat results. Then, based on the geography of the new ridings, I’ve tried to adjust the seat counts based on the new number of seats in the …

Latest Prediction: Leger Marketing, Forum, Campaign Research #wrp #abvote #pcaa

Another set of polls were released recently…

To summarize, here are my predictions ordered by the dates that the polls were taken:

Poll Date(s)

Polling Firm

Seats:

Result

March 22-25

Ipsos-Reid

46

33

2

2

Wildrose Majority

March 22-25

ThinkHQ

34

40

5

4

PC Minority

March 22-25

Leger Marketing

36

43

3

1

PC Minority or Majority

March 26

Forum

63

16

2

2

Wildrose Majority

March 26

Campaign Research

 60 15 5 3

Wildrose Majority

Is it really any wonder the Alberta PC’s are trying to hammer the Wildrose Party on so-called “wedge” issues?  You know they’re worried when they start in on that this early on.